B.O.R.E.D.
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Daniel's got a mid-summer checkup on this year's films.
B.O.R.E.D.
Box Office Reported Eloquently by Daniel
Midsummer Checkup
Well, with the first two months of summer movie season over I thought I might
check my predictions and see how well I've been doing. From the predictions I
made back in March:
Van Helsing: Prediction: $182 million Actual: $120 million
Troy: Prediction: $221 million Actual: $132 million
New York Minute Prediction: $27.5 million Actual: $14 million
Raising Helen Prediction: $75 million Actual: $36 million
Chronicles of Riddick Prediction: $60 million Actual: $55 million
Shrek 2 Prediction: $247 million Actual: $430+ million
The Day After Tomorrow Prediction: $184 million Actual: $187 million
Garfield: The Movie Prediction: $120 million Actual: $70 million
Around the World in Eighty Days Prediction: $60 million Actual: $22 million
Dodgeball Prediction: $80 million Actual: $105+ million
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban Prediction: $337 million
Actual: $235+ million
The Terminal Prediction: $206 million Actual: $75+ million
(biggest disappointment of the season)
Overall accuracy: 42.13%
Ouch! Not too hot. Of course it's a little hard to predict films before you
know the public's reaction. Troy and Van Helsing would have come closer to my
prediction if they would have been better received. I'm a lot more confident
in my predictions for the next two months. We'll see what happens.
Classic Quote of the Week: "We never rob, we just borrow a
little from those who can afford it." - Robin Hood from Robin Hood
Tragic Quote of the Week: "Don't you ever migrate." - Laverne
from Hunchback of Notre Dame
Last Weekend
Spiderman 2 Prediction: $101.6 million Actual: $115.8 million
Fahrenheit 911 Prediction: $24.1 million Actual: $22.2 million
Dodgeball Prediction: $15.5 million Actual: $11.4 million
White Chicks Prediction: $12.1 million Actual: $11.5 million
Terminal Prediction: $11.2 million Actual: $10.7 million
The Notebook Prediction: $10 million Actual: $10.4 million
Harry Potter 3 Prediction: $8 million Actual: $8.5 million
Shrek 2 Prediction: $7.5 million Actual: $8.4 million
Garfield: The Movie Prediction: $4.5 million Actual: $4.3 million
Two Brothers Prediction: $3.1 million Actual: $3.9 million
Overall accuracy: 88.37%
This Weekend
King Arthur made a rather disappointing $4.8 million on Wednesday. Compare that to Pirates of the Caribbean's $13.5 million dollars. Even if King Arthur keeps it's ratio to Pirates of the Caribbean the most it can hope for is $109 million dollars. Certainly another disappointment in a year full of flops for Disney. I wouldn't worry too much yet, because Princess Diaries 2, The Village, Incredibles and National Treasure all look like potential hits.
#1 Spiderman 2 $52.1 million
#2 Anchorman $41 million
#3 King Arthur $18 million
#4 Fahrenheit 9/11 $10.1 million
#5 Sleepover $6.2 million
#6 The Terminal $5.6 million
#7 The Note Book $5.5 million
#8 Dodgeball $4.6 million
#9 White Chicks $4.3 million
#10 Shrek $4.2 million
#2 Anchorman $41 million
#3 King Arthur $18 million
#4 Fahrenheit 9/11 $10.1 million
#5 Sleepover $6.2 million
#6 The Terminal $5.6 million
#7 The Note Book $5.5 million
#8 Dodgeball $4.6 million
#9 White Chicks $4.3 million
#10 Shrek $4.2 million
If it were a Disney film. . . Anchorman would be how a
hammerhead shark named Anchor becomes a superhero of the ocean. Kind of an
Incredibles meets Finding Nemo sort of thing.
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-- Daniel Kaplan
-- Posted July 9, 2004