Today’s forecast to exactly pinpoint where shower activity is going to pop up is challenging to say the least. There is plenty of moisture over the area – but cloud cover may keep down the daytime heating which may limit thunderstorm development. These clouds will also keep the temperatures down to the low 90s. So here’s what I’m going to do – while I will normally give you a 50-50 chance for showers on any given summer day – today I’m going with likely … so showers WILL pop up around Central Florida it’s just a matter of where … and for the when I’d say anytime after noon though more likely between 2-4pm.
Tomorrow and Friday look like much better “park” days if you are looking for sunshine.
As far as the tropics go – I’d like to do a little back patting … while almost all the computer models did not develop this system last week and even into the weekend – I mentioned last week this was something we would want to keep our eye on. Now that the latest advisory from the NHC has come out – I’d say – we were right ;-)! NHC is giving this disturbance that is about to make it’s way into the Gulf an 80 percent chance of development. While the latest spread of model runs is MORE spread out than it was yesterday there still has been a more northerly component to the spread. That said should this continue to form and move into the Gulf people should be aware anywhere between Northern Mexico and even over into Louisiana. I’ll be updating the action via Twitter (@WDW_Weather) as developments – develop :-).